Leon is probably taking care of very important business and has a great excuse for shirking his Monday responsibility. I’ll fill in with a very intriguing post.
This rock formation has a perfectly formed white ball in the middle. Probably an alien culture.This formation found on indigenous land comes in 2 sizes and is ‘new’ which I can only assume means it’s been around for thousands of years.Perfectly formed structures. Either this mountainous ancient culture used these for animal sacrifice or as an important part of their astronomical observations which are still far superior to ours. Cuz noble savages. These are rocks that are bluish kinda. Very intriguing.
Most guys don’t murder a woman because they’re afraid they’re going to get in trouble.
—————————-
This is one of my favorite new things to do. When we don’t know the details of a story, find the utter bullshit that people insert in order to make the story work for them.
My neighbors were telling everyone that we need to shut down the country – entire country – for 4 weeks to get on top of things.
4 week shut down. Complete. No going anywhere except groceries and medicine.
2 x PhDs. Daughter is in med school.
GND rarely says anything but she was totally blown away. She asked, ‘didn’t we already do that?’ to which they replied we opened too early. Need to shut down again.
This too. If this bears out, it tells me that China basically cast a spell on the world and had plenty of willing participants to the suggestion who sought to capitalize on it.
My neighbors were telling everyone that we need to shut down the country – entire country – for 4 weeks to get on top of things.
4 week shut down. Complete. No going anywhere except groceries and medicine.
2 x PhDs. Daughter is in med school.
Found the CNN/MSNBC viewers. My aunt was the same at 4th of July. I kept my own counsel for the duration out of respect for my parents and grandmother. Kept quiet and cut brussels sprouts while my dad’s sister was telling his other sister that people like me were essentially all engaged in indiscriminate manslaughter. I’m basically a saint.
Most and I mean most of the sexual assault charges in the Military are bogus. Most start out consensual and then turn.
As with race, men in the military are comfortable with women being pilots, excellent with a weapon, good planners, leaders, etc..
The trash group of ANY organization does idiotic shit like having an affair with a “co-worker” and act in a sordid fashion.
There was an episode of 60 minutes that was about sexual misconduct against women in the military. Can’t remember if it was just the academies or not. Anyhoo every one of those women were lying their asses off. I know for a fact one of them because we knew her roommate very well. She was a slut. And through the grapevine knew another of the girls was also a female spurned and had slept around… voluntarily.
I’ve watched a few space movies recently and I’ve come to the conclusion that we really fucked it up over the past 25-30 years.
We should have never stopped exploring, although I don’t know how possible that would have been.
Anyone know why it stopped?
Comment by Colorado Alex In Exile on July 6, 2020 9:16 am
We should have never stopped exploring, although I don’t know how possible that would have been.
Anyone know why it stopped?
Congress wanted to spend the money elsewhere. Once we had beaten the Russians to the Moon they didn’t see any reason to continue. No one gives a shit about scientific research when that money could be spent on a new social program on a military boondoggle built in their district.
We had ICBMs after Apollo, so the real goal had been achieved. Plus all the usual suspects were whining even then about “millions for space, nothing for ______!!!!”. Today they’d insert trans-hispanic pregnancy awareness or plastic straws or something.
Comment by Jay in Ames on July 6, 2020 8:58 am
what if the aliens are liberal, and just want to co-exist, leon?
——-
Nothing in this sentence makes sense. The LAST thing liberals (aliens or not) want to do is co-exist. Or co- anything. They want to run shit, shut us up and control us.
Now I’m mad at liberal aliens. DOWN WITH LIBERAL ALIENS!!
The heavy involvement of NdGT in modern cosmology is enough to make me willing to read a treatise on the crystalline spheres.
Comment by Colorado Alex In Exile on July 6, 2020 9:30 am
Sexual harassment and rapes do occur. I’ve dealt with both in my units at various times. A lot of the problem is when the unit gets an “anything goes” attitude, with everyone sleeping with each other and such, because it either makes it easier for misunderstandings and for lines to be crossed, or because it makes it easier for predators to hide out. Same reason why so many “sex-positive” feminist women seem to end up dealing with creepers, perverts, and predators disguised as “feminist” men: the latter go where the targets are and where they think they’ll be able to hide. Not every woman wants to raise it up to the level of a formal complaint (with the associated potential to destroy someone’s career or unit cohesion), they just want some behavior to stop.
It’s possible that he was a creeper and a psychopath, since the two aren’t mutually exclusive. And the military often attracts… off individuals who benefit from an environment where life is more strictly regulated. It tends to hide the crazy. See Russell Williams of the RCAF for an extreme example.
Comment by Colorado Alex In Exile on July 6, 2020 9:33 am
I have to roll my eyes when I see comments lately about “real science” and bitching about modeling. The entire modern physics paradigm is based around trying to keep patching a flawed model (Einstein’s General Relativity) when its predictions turned out to be wrong, and another model (quantum mechanics) whose predictions can’t be disproven.
There’s also a weird association with data modeling and science.
A model is not science. It’s a model.
I guess you could make the argument that the model is predictive and can therefore either proved or disproved but that never seems to happen. The models are treated as oracles.
Dunno. I don’t get it.
Comment by Colorado Alex In Exile on July 6, 2020 9:40 am
Well, big lasers are important.
Comment by Colorado Alex In Exile on July 6, 2020 9:43 am
A model isn’t science, but science is about modeling. The scientific method is to observe a phenomena, create a generalized model to predict future behavior, and then to test that model’s predictions against observations of the real world.
Right. Where data science really shines is in things like curve-fitting. If you don’t have a prediction to test but you get enough data, you can sort of “intuit” the model mechanically by casting the data against various curves that would represent plausible relationships between inputs and outputs and measuring the discrepancy. This can give you a model to test against in future experiments to judge veracity of the perceived relationships.
But if quasars say your model is bullshit, you gotta start over at the top, not tweak the model.
Comment by Colorado Alex In Exile on July 6, 2020 9:52 am
I’d lay some of the blame on the scientific community which drank it’s own kool-aid regarding it’s ability to “understand” the universe. They’ve been the ones often pushing to gullible journalists how this or that model “proves” some pet theory.
Add in cheap computing power and the “publish or perish” mentality, and all of a sudden it’s easier to run poorly coded computer simulations and treat it as gospel.
But if quasars say your model is bullshit, you gotta start over at the top, not tweak the model.
——————-
They always change the model and call it more science. No one ever tests the model.
I’d like to test models for a living. This one is too short! This one is too tall! This one doesn’t know how to properly handle a gentlemen’s sausage!
Comment by Colorado Alex In Exile on July 6, 2020 9:56 am
Econ gets a lot of shit, and some of it deserved, but one thing my grad professors railed against was data mining. You’d better have a sound theory to back up why you were including a certain variable in your equations. Data mining can be useful for identifying possible relationships to explore, but only if you’re careful. Otherwise you just in up a correlation whore.
I wonder how long Kristi Noem will last as a politician I respect?
Comment by Colorado Alex In Exile on July 6, 2020 9:59 am
They always change the model and call it more science. No one ever tests the model.
If you’re changing the model based on observations that is testing the model. You’re testing it against real-world observations. The problem is that too often people want to tweak a model around the edges, not accept that there may be a fundamental discrepancy that they haven’t identified. That’s how you end up with “96% of the universe is dark matter” or layers of epicycles: you don’t want to admit that you screwed up somewhere way up the line.
What I mean is that no one tests the model’s predictive power v random chance.
As in my model to determine the size and shape of Walt’s asshole is not statistically different than a guess.
They just update and say we’re working on it instead of saying yesterday we were totally confident and today, yesterday’s model was as good as throwing a dart. A little humility would be nice.
Comment by Colorado Alex In Exile on July 6, 2020 10:08 am
What I mean is that no one tests the model’s predictive power v random chance.
That’s not always the right metrics, IMHO. I agree about the humility part, however.
Comment by Colorado Alex In Exile on July 6, 2020 10:10 am
Or as I once wrote: Memo to suburban parents who oppose voucher programs: You're actually sending your kid to private school. You're just confused because the school came bundled with granite countertops.https://t.co/63BDUsMuL7https://t.co/shbKIaz9Vk
The biggest problem with models is that you don’t actually know all the, for lack of better or proper terminology variables, in play in any large process, be it physical or economical or social. If you miss something critical, your results are likely to be garbage. And of course if you include things that aren’t actually significant, that makes things even worse. None of which would happen nearly as much if the goal was actually “figure out what’s happening with x” and not “figure out how to derive funding and influence using y as a predicate”.
That’s not always the right metrics, IMHO. I agree about the humility part, however.
—————————-
Sure, in Econ or finance. I was thinking more of public policy model influencers, like climate change.
Add in cheap computing power and the “publish or perish” mentality, and all of a sudden it’s easier to run poorly coded computer simulations and treat it as gospel.
This is huge. Need a thesis and don’t have your own data? Make a model!
I remember reading a wonderful takedown of the red-shift model in light of what we’ve observed since Einstein, written by a creationist (old earth type) who was actually a little sad that what he’d come to believe based on his analysis, because it meant that the evidence that originally led to the Big Bang theory didn’t really prove what they thought it did at the time. The Big Bang was named by its earliest critic, who called it that in derision when a Jesuit first proposed it. He thought it was a subversive religious-based “theory” that was just trying to case Genesis in scientific terms.
Now you can’t say “maybe there was no Big Bang” without being labeled a heretic. There’s some deeeeeeeeeep irony in that.
Wow. I haven’t watched Fox News in a long time and I assumed all of the BS about Fox going liberal was just that.
But in this 10 mins….whoa. That was eye opening.
Questions/statements: Isn’t that wrong of Trump to suggest Covid isn’t as deadly as stated…These Republicans are distancing themselves from Trump…Bubba Whomever believes it was a hate crime so it’s not a hoax.
GIN? Great with a bit of vermouth and a dash of pomegranate liquor in a tall tumbler with ice and orange-essenced fizzy water.
Comment by Colorado Alex In Exile on July 6, 2020 10:25 am
No, the ruling makes sense. State laws can remove faithless electors because ultimately states have wide latitude in deciding how those electors are picked and how their votes are assigned. It would be entirely constitutional for a state legislature to simply vote to give one candidate the state’s electoral votes, without a general election.
The way I read it, in this case the Supreme Court is saying that they’re not going to get involved in how states deal with what is constitutionally an internal matter.
Comment by Colorado Alex In Exile on July 6, 2020 10:28 am
Ennio Morricone has passed away.
*Goes to listen to L’Arena on youtube.”
Comment by Colorado Alex In Exile on July 6, 2020 10:32 am
Now you can’t say “maybe there was no Big Bang” without being labeled a heretic. There’s some deeeeeeeeeep irony in that.
It’s turtles all the way down.
Comment by Colorado Alex In Exile on July 6, 2020 10:43 am
Mare – noem fucked us hard within about 7 hours of being sworn in to congress in 2010. We put her in office and she rammed it up our asses sideways. Fuck her.
In case it matters, DC is still in basically total lockdown, at least the offices. The office my contract runs out of in Dulles is tentatively talking about bringing people back to their desks in January. They have gone completely mad over this shit.
Depends on how long it’s been and which agency had it last. If it’s been less than 5 years, it’s generally pretty easy, especially if it’s the same agency as you had it with. I went a year without and they flipped it back on without even a new briefing.
Comment by Colorado Alex In Exile on July 6, 2020 12:28 pm
It’s a pain in the ass if it’s lapsed like mine is. Basically it would be a whole new investigation, I believe. Yes, the employer has to sponsor it.
I had lunch the other day with a friend who is an ED nurse and a conservative. She agrees nothing had to be shut down, but she has seen some crazy shit. She was telling me about something called ‘covid toes’ where she saw little kid’s feet go purple because of the virus’ effect on clotting factors. She also had to intubate a lot of people in the past few months.
I asked her if things are ever going to go back to normal and she looked doubtful.
Just so sick of all this bullshit. I was sick of it months ago!
also, my friend is recovering from it….he says he’s pretty much in hell and he’s mad at his wife because he’s POSITIVE she gave it to him and it treated her very mildly…but he is a federal marshal like super badass dude who has kicked me so hard in sparring I thought I was going to shit my drawers…point being, he’s tough and has had to fight some gnarly people and said this was THE worst experience of his life
It will all go back to normal early November. Especially if the shitbirds steal the election. Covid will disappear into the ether because oh hey look at all them old, cheap drugs doing their thang…nothing to worry about anymore, move along.
To be clear, I’m not doubting what she saw, or her experience at all. It’s just I’ve never heard of it and the media loves nothing more than enjoying others suffering for political purposes.
I know some people have gotten really sick, but that number is very small. I mean, some people have the flu really kick them in the nads, while others just get the icks for a few days.
Point being – It can be BOTH true that a very small # of people are going to feel like death warmed over AND that it’s nothing for the very vast majority of people.
I had the flu once so bad – I lay on the couch for days and felt like I was dying. pat still talks about it- how bad I was. We kinda forget how bad REALLY BAD flu can be. I’ve only gotten that it bad once in my life. I honestly couldn’t even sit up, that was tiring.
Kayleigh just pulled the pin on a grenade, rolled it towards the reporters, and walked out.
Ended her press conference noting she received 0 questions about shootings and killings in cities skyrocketing, and a quote from the 8 y/o girl’s grandfather that was killed at the ATL Wendys where all the Rayshard Brooks violence started.
I understand your point. I just can’t subscribe to this new political idea I’m seeing, that the whole epidemic was faked. It wasn’t faked. The epidemic model was wrong by orders of magnitude, the lockdown response was idiotic and political, but there really was an illness and a (much smaller than advertised) epidemic.
The “faked” part is almost certainly everything that China told us about it. HCQ-Z didn’t work, ibuprofen will kill you if you have it and take some, worse for smokers, worse for younger men, etc.
I’ve always thought the lockdown (quarantine) was a scam. Not the manufactured (as in China) virus. I still will never believe that we should shut down our economy for an epidemic that ravaged the usual unfortunate individuals.
Two weeks to “flatten the curve” well, maybe, maybe not. But based on politicians and “scientists” behavior. and speech it obviously wasn’t as serious as advertised.
You simply cannot say, “protests are fine, but congregating at the beach and funerals is dangerous” with a straight face. Besides lefty psychos, who thinks that makes sense?
My older daughter is an OT and was telling us about some of the patients she’s helped with. Several instances of very fit people in their 30s and 40s who were still having to use a walker several weeks after being released from hospital due to muscular degeneration.
Comment by Colorado Alex In Exile on July 6, 2020 2:22 pm
I supported the initial lockdown because we didn’t know what the hell we were dealing with. This thing isn’t the flu, and it’s behavior is weird. So, make sure that hospitals aren’t overwhelmed, give people and organizations a chance to adjust and prepare, and start opening back up in a methodical way.
I’ve noticed something weird, Lauraw. I think it’s a symptom of where we are as a country, but when people push back just slightly on the veracity of the claims being made about covid it gets interpreted as disbelief in it.
Not saying that’s happening here, but I’ve noticed it at work a lot. Prolly cuz the people that work in rev cycle seem to think it gives them clinical experience or something. They’re in billing but think of themselves as doctors. Also weird.
Very strange, PG. Until very recently the numbers (not my numbers, numbers from the CDC) were skewing much older. 30-40’s are outliers and/or “very fit people” was a description coming from patients who said they were, but weren’t. Which happens all the time.
Doctor: How much do you drink?
Patient: A couple of drinks a week.
Same with exercise, food choices and drug use. Most don’t know they are diabetic or prediabetic.
I didn’t think it was fake, and I’m pretty sure I don’t know anyone who does. But they lied, guessed, and took the most extreme (uninformed) response to 11. They used it for political purposes. People have become divided politically over how they feel about it it (although there is a lot of crossover – especially at first until some realized what side they were “supposed” to be on). Every day people were blaming Trump for Covid, or etc (they still are). If something walks like a fake duck, it’s hard not to call it a fake duck.
I think the thing that has made me most cynical is the fact that they built up extra hospital space, and then took it DOWN before they reopened society.
WTF for? I mean, just stupid. Which makes me think they never thought we’d need that extra space.
I think a big part of the pushback is the simple lawlessness of it. We don’t even get a hearing on the legality of Whitmer’s “it’s an emergency until I say it isn’t!” order — over the vocal opposition of the legislature that she had to ask for an extension per the law as I read it — until fucking September.
If they had asked, I might feel differently. They didn’t, they ordered, well beyond their authority.
I think it was Steve Green on a Bill Whittle video that said: Texas hospitals are at 97% capacity and everyone flipped out but they generally operate at 95% capacity otherwise they wouldn’t be able to stay open. Plenty of beds, plenty of everything needed to take care of serious COVID patients.
I get that everyone was a bit scared at first, but at this point if you’re still afraid you want to be afraid. I’m not saying go out there and start kissing every boy you see like Hotspur, but go about your business.
Joe, unfortunately, will pick someone no one has ever heard of and that’s a great advantage for the dem party. All the known entities are garbage. Pure, dumbass, fake, garbage.
Comment by Colorado Alex In Exile on July 6, 2020 3:04 pm
I think the money is on Harris, based on the current fight over editing her Wikipedia page.
That would be fucking hilarious. FYI: the Grim Reaper is going to have a little dueling hamster dressed as him. It’ll scare the shit out of the other dueling hamsters.
Comment by Colorado Alex In Exile on July 6, 2020 3:34 pm
NEW: ICE just put down a notice to students in the US on student visas that they must leave the United States if their classes are going to be only online this fall. If they want to stay, ICE says they must transfer to a school with in person instruction. https://t.co/hAtfFaNIKnpic.twitter.com/8l0C2MmX34
My comment bitching about the Rona didn’t post. Blah blah blah no positives where I work, positives where Pepe shops, may result in a two week closure. Quarantined workers from that location, have been shopping at my Club. I want to Karen them, so they won’t get paid. I won’t, but I want to. TMI3rd has two Rona patients. College aged. Thought they had hangovers. Headaches and nausea. Atlanta Braves player was hit hard, wife had few symptoms.
So, some idiot T-boned Sarah coming out of the grocery store parking lot this morning (he went into the turn lane to get past an 18-wheeler that was turning into the lot).
Sarah is banged up, but thankfully OK – Paul went and picked her up at the accident site; ambulance checked her out before releasing her.
The asshole (Hispanic) kid who caused the accident doesn’t have insurance. The truck is probably a total loss – he hit her going about 30 mph – and we only have liability (and uninsured motorist) on it, due to its age.
The cop on the scene didn’t even write a ticket for the other driver – said they don’t do that any more.
kid who caused the accident doesn’t have insurance. The truck is probably a total loss – he hit her going about 30 mph – and we only have liability (and uninsured motorist) on it, due to its age.
TiFW, my friend got T-boned a few years ago. Illegal, no insurance. Her son, got T-boned last week as he drove home after her house fire. He got tased by a state cop. Once again, Illegal without insurance. Governor Fat Ass pushed DLs for Illegals so they can get insurance. I’m glad Sarah is ok.
Gay guy I work with, had the throat swab. He said it was so invasive, he nearly threw up. Oso…(I got in trouble for calling Senor Butt Crack a lazy MFer, coached on my blurting, and I let a low hanging fruit sail by).
Pupster, yes it would. Nurse at the ER kicked the cop out, took pictures to aid his lawsuit against the popo. Her son, loved my Ginger. She hated him. She would growl the whole time he would hold her and give her treats. Great guy. Not a gangsta. Can’t say the same about his brother.
She’s on the good drugs and is feeling no pain, which is a relief after the last few weeks. If she could get some wifi, she’d be here harassing all of y’all.
*insert a dick pic here*
*I’d post Schumer or someone like that but they are an insult to weenuses everywhere*
Mare – Noem caved on every important vote that came before her. She toed Boehner’s line to the letter. The tea party movement put her in office and for our efforts and flying in the face of all of her promises she shit on us every time she got a chance – amnesty yes, more spending yes, smaller government no. She got a sweet sweet seat on the ways and means committee for smoking the swamp meat. She refused to caucus with us too.
Fuck her and the pheasant she rode in on. She’s bought and paid for. I despise her ilk more than the pelosi and reeds of the world.
Had to go into town today to Total Wine, to get 4 handles of whiskey.
On the way back, there’s a Popeyes, where I’ve never been.
I got two chicken sandwiches and red beans and rice.
We are old, now, and can’t eat as much as we used to.
Those chicken sandwiches are YUGE! I am still stuffed.
That is a lot of food, and a good deal. I will go back…
The “Protesters” struck by the Ethiopian in the Jaguar on I5 last night were Diaz Love & Summer Taylor. There you have Mayor Jenny (Karen) Durkins “Summer of Love”.
You could not make this shit up…
I just sat down to do the poat for the day and saw this magnificence. Not stomping this, no way.
Most guys don’t murder a woman because they’re afraid they’re going to get in trouble.
—————————-
This is one of my favorite new things to do. When we don’t know the details of a story, find the utter bullshit that people insert in order to make the story work for them.
Humans do that for some reason.
Bitch please. You’re just lazy.
I aim for between 8 and 830 at the latest. If it’s after 8 when I sit down, we get a “classic” poat.
This seems like a big deal.
My neighbors were telling everyone that we need to shut down the country – entire country – for 4 weeks to get on top of things.
4 week shut down. Complete. No going anywhere except groceries and medicine.
2 x PhDs. Daughter is in med school.
GND rarely says anything but she was totally blown away. She asked, ‘didn’t we already do that?’ to which they replied we opened too early. Need to shut down again.
This too. If this bears out, it tells me that China basically cast a spell on the world and had plenty of willing participants to the suggestion who sought to capitalize on it.
My neighbors were telling everyone that we need to shut down the country – entire country – for 4 weeks to get on top of things.
4 week shut down. Complete. No going anywhere except groceries and medicine.
2 x PhDs. Daughter is in med school.
Found the CNN/MSNBC viewers. My aunt was the same at 4th of July. I kept my own counsel for the duration out of respect for my parents and grandmother. Kept quiet and cut brussels sprouts while my dad’s sister was telling his other sister that people like me were essentially all engaged in indiscriminate manslaughter. I’m basically a saint.
Most and I mean most of the sexual assault charges in the Military are bogus. Most start out consensual and then turn.
As with race, men in the military are comfortable with women being pilots, excellent with a weapon, good planners, leaders, etc..
The trash group of ANY organization does idiotic shit like having an affair with a “co-worker” and act in a sordid fashion.
There was an episode of 60 minutes that was about sexual misconduct against women in the military. Can’t remember if it was just the academies or not. Anyhoo every one of those women were lying their asses off. I know for a fact one of them because we knew her roommate very well. She was a slut. And through the grapevine knew another of the girls was also a female spurned and had slept around… voluntarily.
2 and a half months is too early??
Effing idiot.
No one can look at those rock formations and deny we’ve been visited by aliens at some point.
No one can look at those rock formations and deny we’ve been visited by aliens at some point.
Well, I can. So you are in fact incorrect.
I’ve heard rocks can be pets too.
DENIER.
How can you ignore what you see right before your eyes?
next outrageous thing you’ll say is that black people can be racist.
I can’t even with you today, Leon.
Leon has gone rogue.
And I don’t mean with weights.
Here’s my evidence that aliens never visited us:
We are still here.
what if the aliens are liberal, and just want to co-exist, leon?
“Co-exist” is code for “genocide, slow then fast”, Jay.
I’ve watched a few space movies recently and I’ve come to the conclusion that we really fucked it up over the past 25-30 years.
We should have never stopped exploring, although I don’t know how possible that would have been.
Anyone know why it stopped?
We should have never stopped exploring, although I don’t know how possible that would have been.
Anyone know why it stopped?
Congress wanted to spend the money elsewhere. Once we had beaten the Russians to the Moon they didn’t see any reason to continue. No one gives a shit about scientific research when that money could be spent on a new social program on a military boondoggle built in their district.
alex nailed it. BLM has been taking all the money since then, in a way. Now they want more.
Well, I’m dangerously close to having ANOTHER politician I liked being a total sham.
Abbott of Texas. What went wrong with him? He was so good. But falling for this COVID shit is just ridiculous.
We had ICBMs after Apollo, so the real goal had been achieved. Plus all the usual suspects were whining even then about “millions for space, nothing for ______!!!!”. Today they’d insert trans-hispanic pregnancy awareness or plastic straws or something.
Space is fake.
But phlogiston is real.
Comment by Jay in Ames on July 6, 2020 8:58 am
what if the aliens are liberal, and just want to co-exist, leon?
——-
Nothing in this sentence makes sense. The LAST thing liberals (aliens or not) want to do is co-exist. Or co- anything. They want to run shit, shut us up and control us.
Now I’m mad at liberal aliens. DOWN WITH LIBERAL ALIENS!!
The heavy involvement of NdGT in modern cosmology is enough to make me willing to read a treatise on the crystalline spheres.
Sexual harassment and rapes do occur. I’ve dealt with both in my units at various times. A lot of the problem is when the unit gets an “anything goes” attitude, with everyone sleeping with each other and such, because it either makes it easier for misunderstandings and for lines to be crossed, or because it makes it easier for predators to hide out. Same reason why so many “sex-positive” feminist women seem to end up dealing with creepers, perverts, and predators disguised as “feminist” men: the latter go where the targets are and where they think they’ll be able to hide. Not every woman wants to raise it up to the level of a formal complaint (with the associated potential to destroy someone’s career or unit cohesion), they just want some behavior to stop.
It’s possible that he was a creeper and a psychopath, since the two aren’t mutually exclusive. And the military often attracts… off individuals who benefit from an environment where life is more strictly regulated. It tends to hide the crazy. See Russell Williams of the RCAF for an extreme example.
I have to roll my eyes when I see comments lately about “real science” and bitching about modeling. The entire modern physics paradigm is based around trying to keep patching a flawed model (Einstein’s General Relativity) when its predictions turned out to be wrong, and another model (quantum mechanics) whose predictions can’t be disproven.
But modern physics and cosmology produces lots of jobs in air-conditioned offices and labs with big lasers ‘n’ shit.
So, really, it’s for the best.
There’s also a weird association with data modeling and science.
A model is not science. It’s a model.
I guess you could make the argument that the model is predictive and can therefore either proved or disproved but that never seems to happen. The models are treated as oracles.
Dunno. I don’t get it.
Well, big lasers are important.
A model isn’t science, but science is about modeling. The scientific method is to observe a phenomena, create a generalized model to predict future behavior, and then to test that model’s predictions against observations of the real world.
Yep, I get that. But pop culture has decided that models are science for some reason.
I think it’s because people are stupid which is my working philosophy for erruything.
Comment by MJ on July 6, 2020 9:45 am
Yep, I get that. But pop culture has decided that models are science for some reason.
I think it’s because people are stupid which is my working philosophy for erruything.
——–
Yes.
Right. Where data science really shines is in things like curve-fitting. If you don’t have a prediction to test but you get enough data, you can sort of “intuit” the model mechanically by casting the data against various curves that would represent plausible relationships between inputs and outputs and measuring the discrepancy. This can give you a model to test against in future experiments to judge veracity of the perceived relationships.
But if quasars say your model is bullshit, you gotta start over at the top, not tweak the model.
I’d lay some of the blame on the scientific community which drank it’s own kool-aid regarding it’s ability to “understand” the universe. They’ve been the ones often pushing to gullible journalists how this or that model “proves” some pet theory.
Add in cheap computing power and the “publish or perish” mentality, and all of a sudden it’s easier to run poorly coded computer simulations and treat it as gospel.
But if quasars say your model is bullshit, you gotta start over at the top, not tweak the model.
——————-
They always change the model and call it more science. No one ever tests the model.
I’d like to test models for a living. This one is too short! This one is too tall! This one doesn’t know how to properly handle a gentlemen’s sausage!
Econ gets a lot of shit, and some of it deserved, but one thing my grad professors railed against was data mining. You’d better have a sound theory to back up why you were including a certain variable in your equations. Data mining can be useful for identifying possible relationships to explore, but only if you’re careful. Otherwise you just in up a correlation whore.
I wonder how long Kristi Noem will last as a politician I respect?
They always change the model and call it more science. No one ever tests the model.
If you’re changing the model based on observations that is testing the model. You’re testing it against real-world observations. The problem is that too often people want to tweak a model around the edges, not accept that there may be a fundamental discrepancy that they haven’t identified. That’s how you end up with “96% of the universe is dark matter” or layers of epicycles: you don’t want to admit that you screwed up somewhere way up the line.
What I mean is that no one tests the model’s predictive power v random chance.
As in my model to determine the size and shape of Walt’s asshole is not statistically different than a guess.
They just update and say we’re working on it instead of saying yesterday we were totally confident and today, yesterday’s model was as good as throwing a dart. A little humility would be nice.
What I mean is that no one tests the model’s predictive power v random chance.
That’s not always the right metrics, IMHO. I agree about the humility part, however.
The biggest problem with models is that you don’t actually know all the, for lack of better or proper terminology variables, in play in any large process, be it physical or economical or social. If you miss something critical, your results are likely to be garbage. And of course if you include things that aren’t actually significant, that makes things even worse. None of which would happen nearly as much if the goal was actually “figure out what’s happening with x” and not “figure out how to derive funding and influence using y as a predicate”.
That’s not always the right metrics, IMHO. I agree about the humility part, however.
—————————-
Sure, in Econ or finance. I was thinking more of public policy model influencers, like climate change.
Add in cheap computing power and the “publish or perish” mentality, and all of a sudden it’s easier to run poorly coded computer simulations and treat it as gospel.
This is huge. Need a thesis and don’t have your own data? Make a model!
I remember reading a wonderful takedown of the red-shift model in light of what we’ve observed since Einstein, written by a creationist (old earth type) who was actually a little sad that what he’d come to believe based on his analysis, because it meant that the evidence that originally led to the Big Bang theory didn’t really prove what they thought it did at the time. The Big Bang was named by its earliest critic, who called it that in derision when a Jesuit first proposed it. He thought it was a subversive religious-based “theory” that was just trying to case Genesis in scientific terms.
Now you can’t say “maybe there was no Big Bang” without being labeled a heretic. There’s some deeeeeeeeeep irony in that.
Wow. I haven’t watched Fox News in a long time and I assumed all of the BS about Fox going liberal was just that.
But in this 10 mins….whoa. That was eye opening.
Questions/statements: Isn’t that wrong of Trump to suggest Covid isn’t as deadly as stated…These Republicans are distancing themselves from Trump…Bubba Whomever believes it was a hate crime so it’s not a hoax.
Jeez
publish or perish
———–
GIN
supreme court rules Popular Vote winner in states can force electors to vote for that candidate.
Another ruling by fiat, isn’t it?
The LAST thing liberals (aliens or not) want to do is co-exist. Or co- anything.
But mare, you can co-exist. You just can’t have your own opinion. You can live your life, just as long as it’s approved by The State.
GIN? Great with a bit of vermouth and a dash of pomegranate liquor in a tall tumbler with ice and orange-essenced fizzy water.
No, the ruling makes sense. State laws can remove faithless electors because ultimately states have wide latitude in deciding how those electors are picked and how their votes are assigned. It would be entirely constitutional for a state legislature to simply vote to give one candidate the state’s electoral votes, without a general election.
The way I read it, in this case the Supreme Court is saying that they’re not going to get involved in how states deal with what is constitutionally an internal matter.
Ennio Morricone has passed away.
*Goes to listen to L’Arena on youtube.”
Now you can’t say “maybe there was no Big Bang” without being labeled a heretic. There’s some deeeeeeeeeep irony in that.
It’s turtles all the way down.
Mare – noem fucked us hard within about 7 hours of being sworn in to congress in 2010. We put her in office and she rammed it up our asses sideways. Fuck her.
I wouldn’t cross the street to piss on her if she was on fire.
Same thing with Richard Hanna.
8/10 would smash
And yet she’s still in office 10 years later. So much for “the voters decide”.
I assume the worse about basically every professional politician.
Kristi Noem looks like she’s either a backstabbing frigid bitch, or secretly a sexual deviant. Or both.
huh, Thanks, Jam. What did she do?
Mare, What’s your take on DeSantis? He looks like he setting up for a run after Trump too.
Got another bite. This one is a job in DC, but would also come with renewing my clearance.
In case it matters, DC is still in basically total lockdown, at least the offices. The office my contract runs out of in Dulles is tentatively talking about bringing people back to their desks in January. They have gone completely mad over this shit.
OTOH, you might not even need to move.
The lockdown is a concern, plus the general leftwing nuttery of DC-Northern VA.
is renewing your clearance difficult to do? Do you have to have a sponsor?
Also, good morning all
One of my incisions wants to be scratched. Not going to do it in the event I pop it open and the hamsters fall out.
*twitches*
Depends on how long it’s been and which agency had it last. If it’s been less than 5 years, it’s generally pretty easy, especially if it’s the same agency as you had it with. I went a year without and they flipped it back on without even a new briefing.
It’s a pain in the ass if it’s lapsed like mine is. Basically it would be a whole new investigation, I believe. Yes, the employer has to sponsor it.
Y’all think good thoughts for roamy, RIGHT NOW!! If everything is on schedule, she’s been under for half an hour. Should be done by noon thirty.
The six-million dollar Roamy.
They can rebuild her. Faster. Stronger. Snarkier.
She’s already plenty smart.
Comment by beasn on July 6, 2020 1:02 pm
She’s already plenty smart.
——
Amen to that.
Good thoughts! Good thoughts! Good thoughts!!! ❤
Where has Hotspur been?
He’s probably with someone’s mom.
I had lunch the other day with a friend who is an ED nurse and a conservative. She agrees nothing had to be shut down, but she has seen some crazy shit. She was telling me about something called ‘covid toes’ where she saw little kid’s feet go purple because of the virus’ effect on clotting factors. She also had to intubate a lot of people in the past few months.
I asked her if things are ever going to go back to normal and she looked doubtful.
Just so sick of all this bullshit. I was sick of it months ago!
It better go back to normal, because I refuse to continue living like this.
ED nurse
erectile dysfunction?
also, my friend is recovering from it….he says he’s pretty much in hell and he’s mad at his wife because he’s POSITIVE she gave it to him and it treated her very mildly…but he is a federal marshal like super badass dude who has kicked me so hard in sparring I thought I was going to shit my drawers…point being, he’s tough and has had to fight some gnarly people and said this was THE worst experience of his life
Roamy UPDATE:
She is out of surgery.
All went well.
Probably an hour until she’s in a room.
Should be able to go home early tomorrow.
I would like to know more about these cases of children’s toes. How many? Comorbidities? Etc..
If this was a thing, we’d be hearing about this nonstop from the media blaming Trump for ruining children’s lives. WHAT ABOUT THE CHILDREN!!
It will all go back to normal early November. Especially if the shitbirds steal the election. Covid will disappear into the ether because oh hey look at all them old, cheap drugs doing their thang…nothing to worry about anymore, move along.
YAYYY ROMACITA!!
To be clear, I’m not doubting what she saw, or her experience at all. It’s just I’ve never heard of it and the media loves nothing more than enjoying others suffering for political purposes.
Thank you, Beasnsnsnsnsnsns.
I know some people have gotten really sick, but that number is very small. I mean, some people have the flu really kick them in the nads, while others just get the icks for a few days.
Point being – It can be BOTH true that a very small # of people are going to feel like death warmed over AND that it’s nothing for the very vast majority of people.
I had the flu once so bad – I lay on the couch for days and felt like I was dying. pat still talks about it- how bad I was. We kinda forget how bad REALLY BAD flu can be. I’ve only gotten that it bad once in my life. I honestly couldn’t even sit up, that was tiring.
Kayleigh just pulled the pin on a grenade, rolled it towards the reporters, and walked out.
Ended her press conference noting she received 0 questions about shootings and killings in cities skyrocketing, and a quote from the 8 y/o girl’s grandfather that was killed at the ATL Wendys where all the Rayshard Brooks violence started.
I understand your point. I just can’t subscribe to this new political idea I’m seeing, that the whole epidemic was faked. It wasn’t faked. The epidemic model was wrong by orders of magnitude, the lockdown response was idiotic and political, but there really was an illness and a (much smaller than advertised) epidemic.
The “faked” part is almost certainly everything that China told us about it. HCQ-Z didn’t work, ibuprofen will kill you if you have it and take some, worse for smokers, worse for younger men, etc.
Then there’s the don’t-let-the-crisis-go-to-waste response from Cuomo/Whitmer/Newsome.
I’ve always thought the lockdown (quarantine) was a scam. Not the manufactured (as in China) virus. I still will never believe that we should shut down our economy for an epidemic that ravaged the usual unfortunate individuals.
Two weeks to “flatten the curve” well, maybe, maybe not. But based on politicians and “scientists” behavior. and speech it obviously wasn’t as serious as advertised.
You simply cannot say, “protests are fine, but congregating at the beach and funerals is dangerous” with a straight face. Besides lefty psychos, who thinks that makes sense?
My older daughter is an OT and was telling us about some of the patients she’s helped with. Several instances of very fit people in their 30s and 40s who were still having to use a walker several weeks after being released from hospital due to muscular degeneration.
I supported the initial lockdown because we didn’t know what the hell we were dealing with. This thing isn’t the flu, and it’s behavior is weird. So, make sure that hospitals aren’t overwhelmed, give people and organizations a chance to adjust and prepare, and start opening back up in a methodical way.
I’ve noticed something weird, Lauraw. I think it’s a symptom of where we are as a country, but when people push back just slightly on the veracity of the claims being made about covid it gets interpreted as disbelief in it.
Not saying that’s happening here, but I’ve noticed it at work a lot. Prolly cuz the people that work in rev cycle seem to think it gives them clinical experience or something. They’re in billing but think of themselves as doctors. Also weird.
Very strange, PG. Until very recently the numbers (not my numbers, numbers from the CDC) were skewing much older. 30-40’s are outliers and/or “very fit people” was a description coming from patients who said they were, but weren’t. Which happens all the time.
Doctor: How much do you drink?
Patient: A couple of drinks a week.
Same with exercise, food choices and drug use. Most don’t know they are diabetic or prediabetic.
I didn’t think it was fake, and I’m pretty sure I don’t know anyone who does. But they lied, guessed, and took the most extreme (uninformed) response to 11. They used it for political purposes. People have become divided politically over how they feel about it it (although there is a lot of crossover – especially at first until some realized what side they were “supposed” to be on). Every day people were blaming Trump for Covid, or etc (they still are). If something walks like a fake duck, it’s hard not to call it a fake duck.
I think the thing that has made me most cynical is the fact that they built up extra hospital space, and then took it DOWN before they reopened society.
WTF for? I mean, just stupid. Which makes me think they never thought we’d need that extra space.
Or people were just really, really stupid.
still having to use a walker several weeks after being released from hospital due to muscular degeneration.
—-
I may have missed that, so they had atrophied from laying in a hospital bed. Yikes.
I think a big part of the pushback is the simple lawlessness of it. We don’t even get a hearing on the legality of Whitmer’s “it’s an emergency until I say it isn’t!” order — over the vocal opposition of the legislature that she had to ask for an extension per the law as I read it — until fucking September.
If they had asked, I might feel differently. They didn’t, they ordered, well beyond their authority.
I think it was Steve Green on a Bill Whittle video that said: Texas hospitals are at 97% capacity and everyone flipped out but they generally operate at 95% capacity otherwise they wouldn’t be able to stay open. Plenty of beds, plenty of everything needed to take care of serious COVID patients.
The Texas hospital systems are excellent.
I got that same vibe Mare.
11eventy!! Texas ICU is at 85%!!!1
What is it normally?
85%.
Oh.
I get that everyone was a bit scared at first, but at this point if you’re still afraid you want to be afraid. I’m not saying go out there and start kissing every boy you see like Hotspur, but go about your business.
Enough about covid (it was all fake) let’s talk about Biden’s VP.
If he picks Warren he loses. If he picks Harris he loses. If he picks Susan Rice he loses. If he picks Dr Jill he has a chance at winning*.
*paid for by Dr Jill for President
Joe, unfortunately, will pick someone no one has ever heard of and that’s a great advantage for the dem party. All the known entities are garbage. Pure, dumbass, fake, garbage.
I think the money is on Harris, based on the current fight over editing her Wikipedia page.
He should pick the Grim Reaper.
That would be fucking hilarious. FYI: the Grim Reaper is going to have a little dueling hamster dressed as him. It’ll scare the shit out of the other dueling hamsters.
Whorizontal Harris will make a great president. The best president since that Robert Mugabe fellow.
Doctor: How much do you drink?
Patient: A couple of drinks a week.
—————-
You been stalking me?
Carin
https://tinyurl.com/Carinnnnnn
https://tinyurl.com/Carinnn2
XBrad?
https://tinyurl.com/XXXBradddd
He should just pick Hillary and be done with it.
Oh look, Fat Thumb/Neil Cavuto!
*click
“He should just pick Hillary and be done with it.”
Kamala is Hillary.
Comment by Jay in Ames on July 6, 2020 4:08 pm
Oh look, Fat Thumb/Neil Cavuto!
*click
——–
Heh, I love it when Jay clicks (not a euphamism).
I always worry that the clicking is him trying to subtly influence me with his NLP trickery to think that corn is good, or something.
Kamala is Hillary.
Finkle is Einhorn, Einhorn is Finkle
https://66.media.tumblr.com/cbc2c605f54f20846cf04f436dfcbc0d/tumblr_mrqu4jQZMa1s9vhgxo1_500.gifv
Did it ever occur to you guys that jay is blind? Hello? RUDE
Yay, Romacita!
My comment bitching about the Rona didn’t post. Blah blah blah no positives where I work, positives where Pepe shops, may result in a two week closure. Quarantined workers from that location, have been shopping at my Club. I want to Karen them, so they won’t get paid. I won’t, but I want to. TMI3rd has two Rona patients. College aged. Thought they had hangovers. Headaches and nausea. Atlanta Braves player was hit hard, wife had few symptoms.
So, some idiot T-boned Sarah coming out of the grocery store parking lot this morning (he went into the turn lane to get past an 18-wheeler that was turning into the lot).
Sarah is banged up, but thankfully OK – Paul went and picked her up at the accident site; ambulance checked her out before releasing her.
The asshole (Hispanic) kid who caused the accident doesn’t have insurance. The truck is probably a total loss – he hit her going about 30 mph – and we only have liability (and uninsured motorist) on it, due to its age.
The cop on the scene didn’t even write a ticket for the other driver – said they don’t do that any more.
Remind me again why we “have” to have insurance?
kid who caused the accident doesn’t have insurance. The truck is probably a total loss – he hit her going about 30 mph – and we only have liability (and uninsured motorist) on it, due to its age.
ugh. That’s bullshit
I’m glad she’s ok…as far as her physical being. the rest super sucks
TiFW, my friend got T-boned a few years ago. Illegal, no insurance. Her son, got T-boned last week as he drove home after her house fire. He got tased by a state cop. Once again, Illegal without insurance. Governor Fat Ass pushed DLs for Illegals so they can get insurance. I’m glad Sarah is ok.
T-Boned and Tazed would be a good album name.
Gay guy I work with, had the throat swab. He said it was so invasive, he nearly threw up. Oso…(I got in trouble for calling Senor Butt Crack a lazy MFer, coached on my blurting, and I let a low hanging fruit sail by).
Pupster, yes it would. Nurse at the ER kicked the cop out, took pictures to aid his lawsuit against the popo. Her son, loved my Ginger. She hated him. She would growl the whole time he would hold her and give her treats. Great guy. Not a gangsta. Can’t say the same about his brother.
Oso, Karen those a-holes. Wth?
Teresa, holy crap! I’m glad your daughter is okay. And why in hell do they not write big fat tickets for something like that? Are we now Messico?
Roamy update!
She’s on the good drugs and is feeling no pain, which is a relief after the last few weeks. If she could get some wifi, she’d be here harassing all of y’all.
*insert a dick pic here*
*I’d post Schumer or someone like that but they are an insult to weenuses everywhere*
The day after car accidents are the worst.
About 40 years ago I woke up with a broken nose, about 8 stitches in my head and both eyes swollen shut.
One or the worst days ever.
Everything hurt.
Stupid tree.
Don’t worry everyone. Kaepernick will be ok.
https://twitchy.com/brads-313037/2020/07/06/disney-strikes-a-brand-new-production-deal-for-social-activist-content-with-colin-kaepernick-and-it-gets-more-woke-from-there/
The guy that destroyed the NFL.
That will be his legacy.
Mare – Noem caved on every important vote that came before her. She toed Boehner’s line to the letter. The tea party movement put her in office and for our efforts and flying in the face of all of her promises she shit on us every time she got a chance – amnesty yes, more spending yes, smaller government no. She got a sweet sweet seat on the ways and means committee for smoking the swamp meat. She refused to caucus with us too.
Fuck her and the pheasant she rode in on. She’s bought and paid for. I despise her ilk more than the pelosi and reeds of the world.
how did Noem get it so right re: Covid?
Trump is a big government guy too. However, he’s doing some things right.
Scott, knows. D hurt his ribs BITD. HE UNDERSTANDS THE PAIN
* invents asshole hall of fame *
We can put it it Columbus Ohio.
Kaepernick gets voted in first.
The guy that destroyed the NFL.
That will be his legacy.
Indeed
Chick argued on facebook that one of the reasons she didn’t want to go back to work was to RISK HER LIFE for not great money.
Money has mostly been great since I’ve been back.
Risk her life?!?!?!?
Yesterday’s death count from COVID was 244.
In the entire country.
dangit oso!! I was trying to find your blurting comment because that cracked me the heck up and I wanted to see it again…….I no can see
Wait, I live in the armpit of the Deep South and I’m the only one here who can get a hospital room with WiFi? What fuckery is this?!?
Had to go into town today to Total Wine, to get 4 handles of whiskey.
On the way back, there’s a Popeyes, where I’ve never been.
I got two chicken sandwiches and red beans and rice.
We are old, now, and can’t eat as much as we used to.
Those chicken sandwiches are YUGE! I am still stuffed.
That is a lot of food, and a good deal. I will go back…
The “Protesters” struck by the Ethiopian in the Jaguar on I5 last night were Diaz Love & Summer Taylor. There you have Mayor Jenny (Karen) Durkins “Summer of Love”.
You could not make this shit up…
That is a lot of food, and a good deal. I will go back…
welcome to the cult…those sammiches are mighty tasty
Fuuuu San Diego just got shut down again. No restaurants, bars, meums, movie theaters…Newsom’s winery is still OK to be open though
Deals expire. Retribution persists.